| The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak M Chinazzi, JT Davis, M Ajelli, C Gioannini, M Litvinova, S Merler, ... Science 368 (6489), 395-400, 2020 | 1556 | 2020 |
| Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China J Zhang, M Litvinova, Y Liang, Y Wang, W Wang, S Zhao, Q Wu, S Merler, ... Science, eabb8001, 2020 | 506 | 2020 |
| Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study J Zhang, M Litvinova, W Wang, Y Wang, X Deng, X Chen, M Li, W Zheng, ... The Lancet Infectious Diseases 20 (7), 793-802, 2020 | 402 | 2020 |
| The early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak in Lombardy, Italy D Cereda, M Tirani, F Rovida, V Demicheli, M Ajelli, P Poletti, F Trentini, ... arXiv [published online March 20, 2020]., 2020 | 251* | 2020 |
| Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: Agent-based versus structured metapopulation models M Ajelli, B Gonçalves, D Balcan, V Colizza, H Hu, J Ramasco, S Merler, ... BMC Infectious Diseases 10 (1), 190, 2010 | 246 | 2010 |
| The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza S Merler, M Ajelli Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 277 (1681), 557-565, 2010 | 239 | 2010 |
| Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis S Merler, M Ajelli, L Fumanelli, MFC Gomes, AP y Piontti, L Rossi, ... The Lancet Infectious Diseases 384 (9961), 2201-2206, 2015 | 233 | 2015 |
| Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19 A Aleta, D Martín-Corral, AP y Piontti, M Ajelli, M Litvinova, M Chinazzi, ... Nature Human Behaviour 4 (9), 964-971, 2020 | 172* | 2020 |
| Mitigation measures for pandemic influenza in Italy: an individual based model considering different scenarios ML Ciofi degli Atti, S Merler, C Rizzo, M Ajelli, M Massari, P Manfredi, ... PLOS ONE 3 (3), e1790, 2008 | 172 | 2008 |
| Inferring the structure of social contacts from demographic data in the analysis of infectious diseases spread L Fumanelli, M Ajelli, P Manfredi, A Vespignani, S Merler PLOS Computational Biology 8 (9), e1002673, 2012 | 138 | 2012 |
| Determinants of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Europe: implications for real-time modelling S Merler, M Ajelli, A Pugliese, NM Ferguson PLOS Computational Biology 7 (9), e1002205, 2011 | 135 | 2011 |
| Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics P Poletti, B Caprile, M Ajelli, A Pugliese, S Merler Journal of Theoretical Biology 260 (1), 31-40, 2009 | 134 | 2009 |
| The effect of risk perception on the 2009 h1n1 pandemic influenza dynamics P Poletti, M Ajelli, S Merler PLOS ONE 6 (2), e16460, 2011 | 126 | 2011 |
| Transmission Potential of Chikungunya Virus and Control Measures: The Case of Italy P Poletti, G Messeri, M Ajelli, R Vallorani, C Rizzo, S Merler PLOS One 6 (5), e18860, 2011 | 123 | 2011 |
| Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020 F Riccardo, M Ajelli, XD Andrianou, A Bella, M Del Manso, M Fabiani, ... Eurosurveillance 25 (49), 2000790, 2020 | 102* | 2020 |
| Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks QH Liu, M Ajelli, A Aleta, S Merler, Y Moreno, A Vespignani Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (50), 12680-12685, 2018 | 99 | 2018 |
| The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt C Viboud, K Sun, R Gaffey, M Ajelli, L Fumanelli, S Merler, Q Zhang, ... Epidemics 22, 13-21, 2018 | 96 | 2018 |
| Risk perception and effectiveness of uncoordinated behavioral responses in an emerging epidemic P Poletti, M Ajelli, S Merler Mathematical Biosciences 238 (2), 80-89, 2012 | 81 | 2012 |
| Little Italy: an agent-based approach to the estimation of contact patterns-fitting predicted matrices to serological data F Iozzi, F Trusiano, M Chinazzi, FC Billari, E Zagheni, S Merler, M Ajelli, ... PLOS Computational Biology 6 (12), e1001021, 2010 | 72 | 2010 |
| Probability of symptoms and critical disease after SARS-CoV-2 infection P Poletti, M Tirani, D Cereda, F Trentini, G Guzzetta, G Sabatino, ... arXiv preprint arXiv:2006.08471, 2020 | 68 | 2020 |
Stefano MerlerBruno Kessler FoundationVerified email at fbk.eu
