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Robert Winkler
Robert Winkler
James B. Duke Professor, Fuqua School of Business, Duke University
E-mail confirmado em duke.edu
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The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition
S Makridakis, A Andersen, R Carbone, R Fildes, M Hibon, ...
Journal of forecasting 1 (2), 111-153, 1982
20551982
Combining probability distributions from experts in risk analysis
RT Clemen, RL Winkler
Risk analysis 19, 187-203, 1999
16521999
Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions
JE Matheson, RL Winkler
Management science 22 (10), 1087-1096, 1976
11101976
An introduction to Bayesian inference and decision
RL Winkler
(No Title), 1972
10791972
Statistics: Probability, inference, and decision
WL Hays, RL Winkler
(No Title), 1970
967*1970
A general framework for forecast verification
AH Murphy, RL Winkler
Monthly weather review 115 (7), 1330-1338, 1987
9261987
Averages of forecasts: Some empirical results
S Makridakis, RL Winkler
Management science 29 (9), 987-996, 1983
8841983
Forecasting: theory and practice
F Petropoulos, D Apiletti, V Assimakopoulos, MZ Babai, DK Barrow, ...
International Journal of Forecasting 38 (3), 705-871, 2022
8022022
The assessment of prior distributions in Bayesian analysis
RL Winkler
Journal of the American Statistical association 62 (319), 776-800, 1967
7071967
Statistics: Probability, inference, and decision
RL Winkler, WL Hays
Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1975
6101975
Combining probability distributions from dependent information sources
RL Winkler
Management Science 27 (4), 479-488, 1981
5911981
Organizational behavior and human decision processes
HR Arkes, M Bar-Hillel, LR Beach, B Brehmer, JB Brett, NJ Castellan Jr, ...
5411991
The consensus of subjective probability distributions
RL Winkler
Management science 15 (2), B-61-B-75, 1968
5221968
The combination of forecasts
RL Winkler, S Makridakis
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (General) 146 (2), 150-157, 1983
5151983
" Good" Probability Assessors
RL Winkler, AH Murphy
Journal of Applied Meteorology (1962-1982), 751-758, 1968
4801968
Combining economic forecasts
RT Clemen, RL Winkler
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 4 (1), 39-46, 1986
4621986
Interactive elicitation of opinion for a normal linear model
JB Kadane, JM Dickey, RL Winkler, WS Smith, SC Peters
Journal of the American Statistical Association 75 (372), 845-854, 1980
4621980
Reliability of subjective probability forecasts of precipitation and temperature
AH Murphy, RL Winkler
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics 26 (1 …, 1977
4461977
Probability forecasting in meteorology
AH Murphy, RL Winkler
Journal of the American Statistical Association 79 (387), 489-500, 1984
4151984
Limits for the precision and value of information from dependent sources
RT Clemen, RL Winkler
Operations Research 33 (2), 427-442, 1985
3691985
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